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Morning Market Analysis 15 May 2025

Market Overview and Sentiment News U.S. equity futures opened mixed Thursday as investors digested Wednesday’s hotter-than-expected Producer Price Index (up 0.2% MoM) and awaited revised April Retail Sales at 8:30 AM ET. Optimism from yesterday’s 90-day U.S.-China tariff truce was tempered by stronger wholesale inflation data. Inflation Data: April PPI rose 0.2% MoM (vs. 0.1% expected), cooling the rally in futures after yesterday’s CPI beat. Sector Performance: S&P 500 futures were down ~0.1%, Nasdaq 100 futures fell ~0.3% led by weakness in megacaps, while Russell 2000 futures outperformed near unchanged. Sentiment Indicators: The VIX ticked up to 19.5 (from 18.6), indicating rising caution; the CNN Fear & Greed Index slipped to 68, exiting peak ‘Greed’ territory. Earnings Update: ~92% of S&P 500 companies have reported Q1, with 78% beating EPS estimates, sustaining support in cyclical and technology sectors. ...

Morning Market Analysis - 14 May 2025

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Market Overview and Sentiment News U.S. equity futures held near breakeven in premarket trading Wednesday after stocks extended a rally fueled by softer-than-expected April CPI (+0.2% MoM) and a 90-day U.S.-China tariff truce that spurred optimism about trade and growth. S&P 500 futures were flat, Nasdaq-100 futures added around 0.2%, and Dow futures were little changed. Premarket gains in AI chip leaders Nvidia (+1.6%) and Tesla (+1.8%) reflected enthusiasm for a landmark Nvidia-Saudi Arabia AI deal, while consumer discretionary names such as American Eagle fell over 13% on withdrawn guidance. The dollar weakened to near 103.4 amid Fed reluctance to signal imminent rate cuts before assessing tariff impacts. Oil traded around $63.30 per barrel on supply concerns ahead of the EIA inventory report, and gold held near $3,220 amid mixed safe-haven demand. Investors are watching today’s PPI report at 8:30 a.m. ET and Fed speakers for further cues, while China’s recent flash ...

Morning Pre-Market Analysis 13 May 2025

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Market Overview and Sentiment News U.S. stock futures jumped on Tuesday as investors cheered a newly agreed 90-day suspension of tariffs between the U.S. and China, boosting S&P 500 futures by 1.4% and Nasdaq-100 futures by nearly 2% . Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year U.S. note climbing to approximately 4.45% as traders assessed the impact of tariff relief on inflation prospects and Federal Reserve policy . Asian equities attracted a net $6.22 billion in foreign investment through May 12, marking the first inflows since early January amid optimism over eased trade tensions , and the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index has surged about 18% since April 7 on the back of the temporary tariff pause . In Europe, futures on the STOXX Europe 600 edged up 0.3%, powered by gains in cyclicals and financials ahead of key PMI readings and Germany’s ZEW investor sentiment survey . Oil prices were modestly lower, with Brent crude trading near $64.70 per barrel as markets weighed the trade d...

Pre-Market Analysis 11 May 2025

Market Overview and Sentiment News U.S. stock futures rose sharply ahead of the cash session after Reuters reported that negotiators had made “substantial progress” in U.S.-China trade talks in Geneva, lifting S&P 500 futures by 1.1% and Nasdaq-100 futures by 1.4%. Investors welcomed the “constructive and candid” tone from both sides as Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent agreed to launch a new economic dialogue forum to address lingering tariff disputes. Market attention now turns to April’s CPI and PPI data due at 8:30 AM ET, expected to show a 0.3% month-over-month rise in consumer prices and a 0.1% gain in producer costs, which could shape Fed rate outlooks. Bond markets reflected the growing risk appetite, with the 10-year Treasury yield easing four basis points to 3.87% amid positioning for potential Fed guidance post-inflation prints. Commodity futures were mixed: gold extended gains to a six-week high on safe-haven demand, while ...

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