Morning Momentum: VWAP, Yields & Fed on Deck June 18, 2025 Market Overview & Sentiment News Overnight Markets: Tokyo stocks rose after Japan’s PMI beat forecasts; China flat ahead of industrial output data; Europe mixed on bank earnings. U.S. Equity Futures: ES down 0.1%, NQ -0.2% on rising Treasury yields; investors await Fed decision; energy futures outperformed on oil draw. Oil & Commodities: WTI crude jumped 1.3% on a surprise EIA draw; gold steadied near $1,930 as the dollar eased. Bond Yields: 10‑year UST yield climbed to 4.15% after hawkish Fed commentary; higher yields pressuring growth stocks. Impact: Mixed global cues and rising yields are keeping futures on edge—VWAP levels and footprint clusters will be key for spotting intraday reversals and breakouts. Technical Analysis ES Footprint & Delta: This morning's volume footprint shows an initial sell imbalance (delta -79) on ES1! at 6045, followed by absor...

Opening Bell Edge: VWAP Footprints & Retail Sales Spotlight By Alex | June 17, 2025 Market Overview & Sentiment News Overnight Markets: Nikkei +0.5% led by tech gains; Shanghai flat ahead of China industrial data; European futures modestly higher on oil draw expectations. U.S. Equities Futures: ES and NQ up ~0.1%, YM flat; investors cautious ahead of June retail sales and import/export price reports at 8:30 AM. Oil & Commodities: API reports -0.6 M barrel draw, lifting CL futures toward $71.50; gold consolidates near $1,925 amid muted safe-haven demand. Bond Yields: 10‑year UST yield steady at 4.10%; Fed speakers remain quiet until PPI on Thursday, keeping rates outlook range-bound. Impact: Markets tracking macro calendar over headlines—VWAP baselines and footprint clusters will guide intraday entries and exits. Foundational Analysis Monetary Policy: Fed funds at 5.25–5.50%; mixed PPI and CPI readings suggest Fed waits fo...

Your June 12 Equity Futures Playbook By Alex | June 12, 2025 Market Overview & Sentiment News US CPI Meets Expectations: May CPI at 0.1% MoM keeps inflation in check, prompting modest gains in ES and NQ futures. Fed Speak: Fed Chair Powell’s remarks argue for patience on rate cuts, driving mixed reactions—short-term pullbacks in YM but stability in CL. Tech Earnings: Strong beats from Apple and Microsoft boost NQ futures by 0.8%, rotating gains into semis and software names. Oil Inventory: API reports a 0.37M barrel draw, lifting CL toward $67.50 and adding bullish momentum to energy complex. Geopolitical Risk: Middle East tensions ease after OPEC+ comments, capping further spikes in GC despite safe-haven demand. Impact: Equity futures react to inflation and earnings beats—lean into longs on NQ/ES dips to VWAP, fade YM rallies on dovish Fed takes, and keep an eye on CL for continuation above $67.40. Foundational Analysis Mon...