Futures Fervor: Durable Goods Slump Meets GDP Beat — June 26, 2025 Market Overview & Sentiment News Asia & Europe: Nikkei +0.1%, Shanghai +0.2%, DAX -0.1%, FTSE +0.3% on mixed economic cues ahead of US data. US Equity Futures: ES1! +0.30%, NQ1! +0.50%, YM1! +0.20%, RTY1! +0.40% as traders digest a sharp durable goods decline and stronger-than-expected GDP. Sector Buzz: Industrials and tech under pressure early on durable goods miss; financials and homebuilders perk up on GDP upside and strong corporate profits. Energy & Metals: Crude tests VWAP support at $65.00 after modest oil draw; gold holds tight between 3,350–3,360 amid cautious risk sentiment. Impact: The tug-of-war between weak manufacturing orders and robust GDP has created range-bound opportunities; focus on sector rotation from defensives into cyclicals around key VWAP levels. Technical Analysis ES Footprint & Delta: Recent footprint shows a persistent sell...

Fed in Focus: Housing Data & Oil Draw Steer Futures Rally — June 25, 2025 Market Overview & Sentiment News Overnight Markets: Asia and Europe traded mixed ahead of Fed testimony—Nikkei -0.2%, DAX -0.3%; London’s FTSE +0.1% on robust earnings. U.S. Equity Futures: ES1! +0.25%, NQ1! +0.45%, YM1! +0.15%, RTY1! +0.35% on anticipation of housing data and Fed commentary. Housing & Credit: MBA 30-year mortgage rate rose to 6.88%, New Home Sales surged +10.9% MoM—boosting homebuilder and regional bank futures. Energy & Commodities: EIA reported a 11.47M-barrel crude draw and a 0.21M-barrel gasoline build—CL1! testing VWAP support, GC1! holding in a tight range. Impact: Housing strength and a large oil draw underpin sector rotation into homebuilders and energy; Fed testimony looms as the catalyst for broad-market moves around VWAP levels. Technical Analysis ES Footprint & Delta: Early sell imbalance of –85 delta at 6130 wa...

Ceasefire Rally: VWAP, Fed Testimony & Housing Data on Deck June 24, 2025 Market Overview & Sentiment News Overnight Markets: Asia and Europe surged on Mideast ceasefire hopes—Japan’s Nikkei +1.1%, Germany’s DAX +1.8% after Trump announced an Israel-Iran truce. U.S. Equity Futures: ES1! +0.9%, NQ1! +1.15%, YM1! +0.8%, RTY1! +1.0% on a broad risk‑on move into growth names. Oil & Commodities: WTI crude slid ~3% to $66.80 on eased supply fears; gold dipped 1.7% to $3,338 amid weaker safe-haven demand. Bond Yields & FX: 10‑year UST yield eased to 4.12%; DXY down 0.3%; EUR/USD +0.4%; USD/JPY -2% ahead of Fed testimony. Impact: Mixed global cues and rising yields are keeping futures on edge—VWAP levels and footprint clusters will be key for spotting intraday reversals and breakouts. Technical Analysis ES Footprint & Delta: Early session ES1! showed a sell imbalance of -85 delta at 6130, followed by aggressive buyer abso...