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Equity Futures Outlook for Thursday, September 25, 2025

Equity Futures Outlook for Thursday, September 25, 2025 Actionable bias and setups for ES, NQ, YM, RTY ahead of tomorrow’s session 1. Market Recap (Heading into Thursday) Use a Virtual Private Server:   With QuantVPS , you can execute trades with a 1 ms latency. Sign up here! U.S. equities pulled back modestly on Wednesday. The S&P 500 closed down ~0.3% to 6,637.97 (–18.95 pts)   , the Dow fell ~0.4%   , and the Russell 2000 underperformed with a ~0.9% drop   . The retreat followed comments from Fed Chair Powell warning that equity valuations looked “fairly highly valued,” underscoring lingering uncertainty around the timing of rate moves.   Overnight, equity futures are modestly higher, suggesting some resilience into Thursday’s open.   Key drivers: bond yields are pushing upward, and indices remain near all-time highs—any weakness could trigger pullbacks. 2. Macro & Sentiment Drivers to Watch Interest Rates & Yields ...

Quad Witching Friday: Futures Hold Near Highs After Claims Reversal, Philly Fed Pops, LEI Slips — Sep 19, 2025 Scalper’s Playbook

Quad Witching Friday: Futures Hold Near Highs After Claims Reversal, Philly Fed Pops, LEI Slips — Sep 19, 2025 Scalper’s Playbook Market Overview & Sentiment News Since Wednesday’s 25 bp “risk-management” cut, markets have repriced toward gradual easing while reassessing growth. Thursday’s data mix tightened the narrative: initial jobless claims cooled sharply from last week’s spike, the Philly Fed surged to its best since January, and the Conference Board’s LEI fell again—signaling softer momentum ahead even as manufacturing sentiment firmed. Rates are hovering near ~4.0–4.1% on the 10-year, VIX sits in the mid-teens, gold is on a fifth weekly rise, and crude is softer despite a large crude draw given a heavy distillate build and demand worries. Overnight tone is steady into today’s quarterly options expiration (“quad witching”), with microstructure flows likely to dominate intraday leadership versus fresh macro catalysts. Use a Virtual Private Server: ...

Futures Slide into ISM & Bill Auctions — Sep 2, 2025 Trading Blueprint

Futures Slide into ISM & Bill Auctions — Sep 2, 2025 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Reasoning (concise): Overnight charts show a sharp risk‑off break across ES, NQ, YM, and RTY with price holding below session VWAP; crude (CL) trends higher. Today’s U.S. calendar is manufacturing‑heavy (S&P Global 9:45, ISM 10:00) with Treasury bill auctions late‑morning and total vehicle sales in the afternoon. The 6:00 AM LMI Logistics Managers Index printed 59.3, signaling expanding logistics activity. Into these catalysts, positioning skews defensive after the overnight slide. U.S. futures under pressure: Index futures sold hard in the European session and remain below session VWAPs as the open approaches, pointing to an early test of risk appetite rather than immediate dip‑buying. Goods side in focus: Manufacturing prints (S&P Global final and ISM headline/components) will steer rates and equity factor rotation. Sub‑50 ISM risks a continuat...

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