Rate-Cut Hope Surge: Futures at Highs as Oil Stumbles August 13 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Record highs on rate cut optimism: U.S. equity futures continue to trade near record levels after July's consumer price data came in cool, with interest rate futures pricing about a 98% chance of a 25bp cut at the Feds September meeting. The softer inflation print has investors firmly in riskon mode. Global markets rally: European and Asian equities also set new highs as mild inflation and resilient global growth boosted sentiment; Germanys and Japans indices are at multiweek peaks and the CBOE VIX has slipped to its lowest since January. Oil slides on supply outlook: Crude prices are under pressure after the International Energy Agency raised its supply forecast, projecting supply growth to outpace demand. Investors are also watching a U.S.Russia energy meeting; last nights API data showed a 1.5Mbarrel inventory build ahead of todays EIA...

Unleashing the Second-Stage Distribution: A Simple ICT Sell Model Unleashing the Second-Stage Distribution: A Simple ICT Sell Model In fast markets, catching the inflection before the crowd can mean the difference between a winning run and getting stuck in churn. Building on core ICT concepts—relative equal lows, premium/discovery arrays, Fibonacci quadrants, and fair-value gaps—this “Second-Stage Distribution” model offers a clear, repeatable way to sell into strength with confidence. Key Concepts Relative Equal Lows: Identify back-to-back swing lows that mark retail stop clusters and sell-side liquidity. Premium PD Array: Draw a zone at recent swing highs plus a small ATR buffer—targets institutional buy-stop clusters. Fibonacci Quadrants (.25, .50, .75): Partition your PD range to find the critical 75% quadrant where second-stage distribution often develops. Fair‐Value Gap (FVG): The unfilled gap after a liquidity swe...

One System, Endless Plays: ICT-Style Inversion/Breaker Strategy One System, Endless Plays One Setup For Life In the ever-evolving world of futures, FX and equity index trading, finding a single, repeatable setup that works across instruments and timeframes can be a game-changer. The “One System, Endless Plays” strategy combines institutional liquidity sweeps, key time-of-day filters, and two layers of entry confirmation to help you trade with confidence, discipline and a clear edge. Whether you’re demo-testing or scaling live size, this blog will walk you step-by-step through the definitions, rules, and risk management you need to make this your “one setup for life.” 1. Key Definitions Macro Time Window What it is: Short bursts of trading time when volume and participation spike—think of them as “rush-hour” in the markets. Why it matters: High volume means sharper, more predictable stop-hunts a...