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Jackson Hole Playbook: Futures Rip Into Powell — August 22 Trading Blueprint

Jackson Hole Playbook: Futures Rip Into Powell — August 22 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Futures rip into Powell: After a sharp pre‑market air‑pocket, ES, NQ, YM and RTY all staged a V‑reversal and reclaimed VWAP , basing near session highs ahead of Chair Powell’s 10:00 ET Jackson Hole remarks. Breadth and volume improved on the rebound, raising the odds of a trend‑day if opening‑range highs hold. Rates in focus, volatility likely: With the policy path in the spotlight, rate and dollar swings are the key cross‑asset drivers today. A dovish tilt favors duration and growth; a hawkish tone pressures long duration and cyclicals. Oil churns, energy watch: Crude remains choppy and mostly below session VWAP, with attention on the 1:00 ET Baker Hughes rig count for a potential afternoon impulse. Gold mixed into the event: GC is range‑bound and whippy around VWAP as traders trim hedges into the speech; expect two‑way risk and fast reversa...
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Volatility Playbook: Equity Futures Rebound as Housing Data Loom – August 18 Trading Blueprint

Volatility Playbook: Equity Futures Rebound as Housing Data Loom – August 18 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Equity futures steady amid housing data and Fed chatter: U.S. futures are hovering near record levels but off overnight lows as traders await the 10:00 ET NAHB Housing Market Index and comments from Fed Governor Michelle Bowman later today. Market expectations for a September rate cut remain around 95%, but investors are cautious ahead of next week’s Jackson Hole symposium and retail earnings reports. Global markets mixed: European indices are steady near multiweek highs, buoyed by signs of resilient corporate earnings and softening inflation. Asian markets were mixed, with China’s Shanghai Composite flat and Japan’s Nikkei edging lower as traders digested lackluster trade data and the prospect of more stimulus measures. Credit markets calm with pockets of concern: U.S. corporate credit spreads remain tight, reflecting diminishin...
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Hot PPI vs Retail Sales: August 15 Trading Blueprint

Hot PPI vs Retail Sales: August 15 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Global equity markets continue to hover near record highs, bolstered by signs of cooling U.S. consumer inflation and hopes that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting rates later this year. The mood is tempered by a hot July producer‑price index and weak Chinese factory and retail data, which have raised concerns about global growth. European indices and Japan’s Nikkei extended multi‑week rallies thanks to strong earnings and expectations that a high‑stakes summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska could lead to a ceasefire in Eastern Europe. U.S. equity fund inflows have surged as investors cheer the softer July CPI and an extension of the U.S.‑China tariff truce; technology funds are drawing their biggest inflows since early 2021. Meanwhile, crude oil prices are trading near two‑month lows: traders expect the Alaska summit and weak Chi...
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