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Futures Slide into ISM & Bill Auctions — Sep 2, 2025 Trading Blueprint

Futures Slide into ISM & Bill Auctions — Sep 2, 2025 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Reasoning (concise): Overnight charts show a sharp risk‑off break across ES, NQ, YM, and RTY with price holding below session VWAP; crude (CL) trends higher. Today’s U.S. calendar is manufacturing‑heavy (S&P Global 9:45, ISM 10:00) with Treasury bill auctions late‑morning and total vehicle sales in the afternoon. The 6:00 AM LMI Logistics Managers Index printed 59.3, signaling expanding logistics activity. Into these catalysts, positioning skews defensive after the overnight slide. U.S. futures under pressure: Index futures sold hard in the European session and remain below session VWAPs as the open approaches, pointing to an early test of risk appetite rather than immediate dip‑buying. Goods side in focus: Manufacturing prints (S&P Global final and ISM headline/components) will steer rates and equity factor rotation. Sub‑50 ISM risks a continuat...

Jackson Hole Playbook: Futures Rip Into Powell — August 22 Trading Blueprint

Jackson Hole Playbook: Futures Rip Into Powell — August 22 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Futures rip into Powell: After a sharp pre‑market air‑pocket, ES, NQ, YM and RTY all staged a V‑reversal and reclaimed VWAP , basing near session highs ahead of Chair Powell’s 10:00 ET Jackson Hole remarks. Breadth and volume improved on the rebound, raising the odds of a trend‑day if opening‑range highs hold. Rates in focus, volatility likely: With the policy path in the spotlight, rate and dollar swings are the key cross‑asset drivers today. A dovish tilt favors duration and growth; a hawkish tone pressures long duration and cyclicals. Oil churns, energy watch: Crude remains choppy and mostly below session VWAP, with attention on the 1:00 ET Baker Hughes rig count for a potential afternoon impulse. Gold mixed into the event: GC is range‑bound and whippy around VWAP as traders trim hedges into the speech; expect two‑way risk and fast reversa...

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