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Fed Decision Eve: Retail Sales & Industrial Production Set the Tone — Sep 16, 2025 Scalper’s Playbook

Fed Decision Eve: Retail Sales & Industrial Production Set the Tone — Sep 16, 2025 Scalper’s Playbook Market Overview & Sentiment News U.S. equity index futures are modestly green into a front-loaded data day as traders position for a widely expected 25 bp Fed cut on Wednesday (statement 2:00 ET; press conference follows). Early U.S. data—Retail Sales (8:30), Industrial Production (9:15), and NAHB HMI (10:00)—will steer intraday leadership and the path of yields into the decision. Bonds lean duration-positive on cut odds while crude’s firm tone keeps inflation watchers alert. Net read: constructive but data-sensitive risk tone into the Fed. Use a Virtual Private Server:   With QuantVPS , you can execute trades with a 1 ms latency. Sign up here! Technical Analysis Price discovery likely builds a morning range with expansions keyed to 8:30 / 9:15 / 10:00 ET. Rising volume on a VWAP loss favors mean-reversion shorts back toward mid/previous bal...

Futures Poised for Fed Week: Empire State Miss, Bills Auctions, Oil Bid — Sep 15, 2025 Trading Blueprint

Futures Poised for Fed Week: Empire State Miss, Bills Auctions, Oil Bid — Sep 15, 2025 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News U.S. equity index futures enter Fed week with a mild positive bias but tight ranges. The September Empire State Manufacturing Index came in below expectations, nudging growth sentiment softer while keeping the easing case intact. Crude is bid on supply-risk headlines tied to Russian infrastructure, sustaining energy-linked inflows and keeping inflation watchers alert. Separately, U.S.–China discussions add tape-bomb risk for mega-cap tech. Bottom line: risk tone constructive yet headline-sensitive into Wednesday’s policy statement and press conference. Futures near flat/up small: Positioning is cautious ahead of the Fed; breadth and rate path expectations will dictate whether early strength sticks. Empire State miss: The softer print cools the growth pulse and subtly reinforces the case for incremental policy easing. Oi...

Futures Hover Near Record Highs Ahead of Jobs Data & OPEC — Sep 5, 2025 Trading Blueprint

Futures Hover Near Record Highs Ahead of Jobs Data & OPEC — Sep 5, 2025 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Overnight charts show a powerful risk‑on rally with ES, NQ, YM and RTY vaulting above session VWAPs and holding the gains. Futures touched record highs in premarket trading after Broadcom's earnings and as investors expect a September Fed rate cut. The morning’s key event is the 8:30 AM ET non‑farm payrolls, which are expected to print around 75K jobs with an unemployment rate near 4.3% and hourly earnings at 0.3% MoM. Oil remains softer ahead of the OPEC+ meeting, with inventories surprising to the upside. With equity sentiment buoyant and energy weaker, positioning is more balanced but still biased toward dips being bought ahead of the data. U.S. futures near record highs: S&P 500 E‑minis rose about 0.23% and Nasdaq futures roughly 0.49% ahead of the payrolls release, buoyed by chipmaker Broadcom’s upbeat results and dovish Fed expect...

One System, Endless Plays: ICT-Style Inversion/Breaker Strategy

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One System, Endless Plays: ICT-Style Inversion/Breaker Strategy One System, Endless Plays One Setup For Life In the ever-evolving world of futures, FX and equity index trading, finding a single, repeatable setup that works across instruments and timeframes can be a game-changer. The “One System, Endless Plays” strategy combines institutional liquidity sweeps, key time-of-day filters, and two layers of entry confirmation to help you trade with confidence, discipline and a clear edge. Whether you’re demo-testing or scaling live size, this blog will walk you step-by-step through the definitions, rules, and risk management you need to make this your “one setup for life.” 1. Key Definitions Macro Time Window What it is: Short bursts of trading time when volume and participation spike—think of them as “rush-hour” in the markets. Why it matters: High volume means sharper, more predictable stop-hunts a...

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