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Futures Market Playbook: September 29, 2025 — Gold at Record Highs, Oil Pressured, Dollar Softens

1. Foundational (Macro) Analysis Markets enter today with a risk-on lean : Policy & Rates : 10Y futures trade near 109.20 (~4.13% yield) , extending last week’s rally. Lower yields are keeping growth/tech supported. FX : DXY at 97.82 , continuing its pullback — weaker dollar boosts global risk sentiment. Commodities : Gold (GC) remains firm near $3,833/oz , just shy of all-time highs. Crude oil (CL) trades down at $64.47 , pressured by supply headlines. Natural gas (NG) rebounded to $3.20 after overnight weakness. Global Equities : Asian/European indices closed stronger, underpinning U.S. futures. Geopolitics/Policy : Shutdown deadline Tuesday night and Oct 1 tariff implementation remain live overhangs. 📊 Risk Bias : Constructive risk-on — lower yields and softer USD are supportive, but shutdown/tariff risk caps enthusiasm. 2. Technical Analysis (Live Levels) Use a Virtual Private Server:   With  QuantVPS , you can execute trades with a 1 ms lat...

Fed Decision Eve: Retail Sales & Industrial Production Set the Tone — Sep 16, 2025 Scalper’s Playbook

Fed Decision Eve: Retail Sales & Industrial Production Set the Tone — Sep 16, 2025 Scalper’s Playbook Market Overview & Sentiment News U.S. equity index futures are modestly green into a front-loaded data day as traders position for a widely expected 25 bp Fed cut on Wednesday (statement 2:00 ET; press conference follows). Early U.S. data—Retail Sales (8:30), Industrial Production (9:15), and NAHB HMI (10:00)—will steer intraday leadership and the path of yields into the decision. Bonds lean duration-positive on cut odds while crude’s firm tone keeps inflation watchers alert. Net read: constructive but data-sensitive risk tone into the Fed. Use a Virtual Private Server:   With QuantVPS , you can execute trades with a 1 ms latency. Sign up here! Technical Analysis Price discovery likely builds a morning range with expansions keyed to 8:30 / 9:15 / 10:00 ET. Rising volume on a VWAP loss favors mean-reversion shorts back toward mid/previous bal...

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