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Futures Market Playbook: September 29, 2025 — Gold at Record Highs, Oil Pressured, Dollar Softens

1. Foundational (Macro) Analysis Markets enter today with a risk-on lean : Policy & Rates : 10Y futures trade near 109.20 (~4.13% yield) , extending last week’s rally. Lower yields are keeping growth/tech supported. FX : DXY at 97.82 , continuing its pullback — weaker dollar boosts global risk sentiment. Commodities : Gold (GC) remains firm near $3,833/oz , just shy of all-time highs. Crude oil (CL) trades down at $64.47 , pressured by supply headlines. Natural gas (NG) rebounded to $3.20 after overnight weakness. Global Equities : Asian/European indices closed stronger, underpinning U.S. futures. Geopolitics/Policy : Shutdown deadline Tuesday night and Oct 1 tariff implementation remain live overhangs. πŸ“Š Risk Bias : Constructive risk-on — lower yields and softer USD are supportive, but shutdown/tariff risk caps enthusiasm. 2. Technical Analysis (Live Levels) Use a Virtual Private Server:   With  QuantVPS , you can execute trades with a 1 ms lat...

🌍 Futures Market Outlook – September 26, 2025

Good morning traders, Markets are limping into the final Friday of September. Futures across equities, bonds, commodities, and FX are all showing heightened volatility , with traders juggling fresh U.S. tariff shocks and looming inflation data . Below is your snapshot of the trading day ahead. Use a Virtual Private Server:   With  QuantVPS , you can execute trades with a 1 ms latency.  Sign up here! 🌍 Global Snapshot Asset Class Direction Key Driver πŸ“‰ Equity Futures (ES, NQ, YM) Lower U.S. tariffs on pharma & trade fears 🏦 Treasury Futures (ZN, ZB) Lower Yields rise as Fed cut bets fade πŸͺ™ Gold (GC) Flat / Slightly Higher Safe-haven interest, capped by yields πŸ›’️ Crude Oil (CL) Lower Growth concerns tied to tariffs πŸ’± Dollar Index (DX) Higher Risk-off flows into USD πŸ“‰ Equity Index Futures: Tariff Shockwaves The headline story driving equities: 100% tariff on U.S. pharma imports starting October 1 → sen...

Pre‑Nvidia Playbook: Futures Hold Firm as Fed Independence Tested — August 27 Trading Blueprint

Pre‑Nvidia Playbook: Futures Hold Firm as Fed Independence Tested — August 27 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Equity futures steady ahead of AI bellwether: U.S. index futures were essentially flat as traders awaited Nvidia’s after‑hours earnings, which are expected to test the AI‑driven rally. Reuters noted Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq E‑mini contracts up around 0.05%, with options markets implying an approximately $260 billion swing in Nvidia’s market value. Investors are cautious given lofty tech valuations and recent warnings about a potential AI bubble. Fed independence questioned: Market volatility this week has centred on former President Donald Trump’s attempt to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, raising uncertainty over the Fed’s independence. Gold rallied on the headline, but prices eased overnight as the dollar firmed and traders took profits. Rates expectations skew dovish: Markets are pricing an 87% chance of a 25‑basis‑...

Jackson Hole Playbook: Futures Rip Into Powell — August 22 Trading Blueprint

Jackson Hole Playbook: Futures Rip Into Powell — August 22 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Futures rip into Powell: After a sharp pre‑market air‑pocket, ES, NQ, YM and RTY all staged a V‑reversal and reclaimed VWAP , basing near session highs ahead of Chair Powell’s 10:00 ET Jackson Hole remarks. Breadth and volume improved on the rebound, raising the odds of a trend‑day if opening‑range highs hold. Rates in focus, volatility likely: With the policy path in the spotlight, rate and dollar swings are the key cross‑asset drivers today. A dovish tilt favors duration and growth; a hawkish tone pressures long duration and cyclicals. Oil churns, energy watch: Crude remains choppy and mostly below session VWAP, with attention on the 1:00 ET Baker Hughes rig count for a potential afternoon impulse. Gold mixed into the event: GC is range‑bound and whippy around VWAP as traders trim hedges into the speech; expect two‑way risk and fast reversa...

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