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Futures Focus: ADP & Crude Draw Power Early Market Moves - July 2, 2025

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Futures Focus: ADP & Crude Draw Power Early Market Moves Market Overview & Sentiment News U.S. Equity Futures: ES +0.4%, NQ +0.5%, YM +0.3% as markets rally on an unexpected ADP jobs beat and strong tech guidance. ADP Employment Change: Reported +37K vs 90K expected, signaling labor resilience ahead of Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls. Tech Earnings: Nvidia shares up 3% premarket after upbeat Q2 outlook; Apple and Microsoft also trading higher on strong results. Oil & Commodities: Crude futures down 0.6% despite a 5.8M barrel draw, while gold edges up on safe-haven flows. Fed Watch: All eyes on Fed Bostic’s 11:00 AM speech—hawkish comments could temper further gains. Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, Trading Economics, CME Group Foundational Analysis Labor Market Strength: ADP’s upside surprise underscores continued job demand, supporting cyclical sectors. Tech Outperformance: Positive guidance from mega-cap firms is prope...

Futures Frontier: Tech Turbulence and Fed Speeches Drive Early Moves - 1 July 2025

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Futures Frontier: Tech Turbulence and Fed Speeches Drive Early Moves Market Overview & Sentiment News US Equity Futures: ES1! down ~0.1%, NQ1! -0.2%, YM1! -0.05% as traders digest tech sector pressure and ongoing Senate tax bill negotiations. Tech Sector Moves: Tesla shares dropped over 5% on CEO dispute with President Trump; Oracle reached record highs after a $30B cloud deal announcement. Trade & Geopolitics: U.S. futures slip amid trade war concerns and Senate budget wrangling; China pledges crackdown on price wars to combat deflation risks. Commodities & FX: Gold steadied near session highs on safe‑haven flows; crude oil futures up 0.7% after larger‑than‑expected API draw; dollar marginally weaker vs major currencies. Sources: Reuters, Investopedia, Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, Saxo Bank Technical Analysis ES (S&P 500 Futures): After holding above VWAP (~6,240) overnight, ES softened below VWAP premarket before findi...

Futures Fervor: PMI Plunge Meets Strong Treasury Demand — June 30, 2025

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Futures Fervor: PMI Plunge Meets Strong Treasury Demand — June 30, 2025 Market Overview & Sentiment News Asia & Europe: Nikkei slipped -0.2% while Shanghai rallied +0.4% on softer manufacturing data; DAX and FTSE were mixed as investors weighed regional PMI contractions ahead of today’s US releases. US Equity Futures: ES1! flat near +0.05%, NQ1! +0.15%, YM1! -0.10%, RTY1! +0.20% as traders brace for Chicago PMI and Dallas Fed index prints. Sector Buzz: Industrials and materials under pressure after weak regional PMIs; financial futures are steady on robust Treasury bill demand; tech futures show mild upside on Fed speakers’ dovish undertones. Energy & Metals: Crude oil held VWAP support at $65.00 ahead of DOE inventory data; gold steadied around $3,308 as safe-haven flows offset stronger US yields. Impact: Mixed global cues and upcoming US PMI data have set a cautious tone—expect range-bound trading in equity futures, fading initial ex...

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