1. Foundational (Macro) Analysis Markets enter today with a risk-on lean : Policy & Rates : 10Y futures trade near 109.20 (~4.13% yield) , extending last week’s rally. Lower yields are keeping growth/tech supported. FX : DXY at 97.82 , continuing its pullback — weaker dollar boosts global risk sentiment. Commodities : Gold (GC) remains firm near $3,833/oz , just shy of all-time highs. Crude oil (CL) trades down at $64.47 , pressured by supply headlines. Natural gas (NG) rebounded to $3.20 after overnight weakness. Global Equities : Asian/European indices closed stronger, underpinning U.S. futures. Geopolitics/Policy : Shutdown deadline Tuesday night and Oct 1 tariff implementation remain live overhangs. 📊 Risk Bias : Constructive risk-on — lower yields and softer USD are supportive, but shutdown/tariff risk caps enthusiasm. 2. Technical Analysis (Live Levels) Use a Virtual Private Server:   With  QuantVPS , you can execute trades with a 1 ms lat...

Fed Decision Day: Futures Flat as Retail Sales Beat, IP Firms, HMI Steady — Sep 17, 2025 Scalper’s Playbook Market Overview & Sentiment News U.S. equity index futures trade near flat into the FOMC (statement 2:00 ET; Powell 2:30 ET). August retail sales beat keeps growth signals alive as yesterday’s IP firmed at the margin and builder sentiment stayed subdued. Oil is steady into the 10:30 ET EIA release, and 10Y yields hover near ~4.0–4.1%. Read: cautious, range-biased risk tone into the decision with sensitivity to Powell’s tone and the new SEP. Technical Analysis Expect a compressed AM range with expansions keyed to 10:30 / 14:00 / 14:30 ET. Rising volume on a VWAP loss favors mean-reversion shorts back toward mid/previous balance; VWAP holds with improving breadth support continuation flags. ES: Lean long above VWAP on higher lows + improving cumulative delta; flip short on decisive VWAP break with breadth deterioration. NQ: Momentum-skewed;...

Fed Decision Eve: Retail Sales & Industrial Production Set the Tone — Sep 16, 2025 Scalper’s Playbook Market Overview & Sentiment News U.S. equity index futures are modestly green into a front-loaded data day as traders position for a widely expected 25 bp Fed cut on Wednesday (statement 2:00 ET; press conference follows). Early U.S. data—Retail Sales (8:30), Industrial Production (9:15), and NAHB HMI (10:00)—will steer intraday leadership and the path of yields into the decision. Bonds lean duration-positive on cut odds while crude’s firm tone keeps inflation watchers alert. Net read: constructive but data-sensitive risk tone into the Fed. Use a Virtual Private Server:   With QuantVPS , you can execute trades with a 1 ms latency. Sign up here! Technical Analysis Price discovery likely builds a morning range with expansions keyed to 8:30 / 9:15 / 10:00 ET. Rising volume on a VWAP loss favors mean-reversion shorts back toward mid/previous bal...

Pre‑Nvidia Playbook: Futures Hold Firm as Fed Independence Tested — August 27 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Equity futures steady ahead of AI bellwether: U.S. index futures were essentially flat as traders awaited Nvidia’s after‑hours earnings, which are expected to test the AI‑driven rally. Reuters noted Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq E‑mini contracts up around 0.05%, with options markets implying an approximately $260 billion swing in Nvidia’s market value. Investors are cautious given lofty tech valuations and recent warnings about a potential AI bubble. Fed independence questioned: Market volatility this week has centred on former President Donald Trump’s attempt to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, raising uncertainty over the Fed’s independence. Gold rallied on the headline, but prices eased overnight as the dollar firmed and traders took profits. Rates expectations skew dovish: Markets are pricing an 87% chance of a 25‑basis‑...

Jackson Hole Playbook: Futures Rip Into Powell — August 22 Trading Blueprint Market Overview & Sentiment News Futures rip into Powell: After a sharp pre‑market air‑pocket, ES, NQ, YM and RTY all staged a V‑reversal and reclaimed VWAP , basing near session highs ahead of Chair Powell’s 10:00 ET Jackson Hole remarks. Breadth and volume improved on the rebound, raising the odds of a trend‑day if opening‑range highs hold. Rates in focus, volatility likely: With the policy path in the spotlight, rate and dollar swings are the key cross‑asset drivers today. A dovish tilt favors duration and growth; a hawkish tone pressures long duration and cyclicals. Oil churns, energy watch: Crude remains choppy and mostly below session VWAP, with attention on the 1:00 ET Baker Hughes rig count for a potential afternoon impulse. Gold mixed into the event: GC is range‑bound and whippy around VWAP as traders trim hedges into the speech; expect two‑way risk and fast reversa...

Tariff Tease & API Shock: Your July 08 Equity Futures Playbook Market Overview & Sentiment News President Trump delayed reciprocal tariffs on 14 nations until August 1, easing immediate trade-war fears; futures were mixed with S&P up 0.12%, Nasdaq up 0.25%, and Dow down 0.08% premarket. Amazon’s Prime Day kicked off with projected $23.8 B in sales, boosting e-commerce stocks and tech futures. Tesla rebounded 1% after Monday’s 6.7% drop on CEO Musk’s political announcement, supporting tech-led futures momentum. Meta Platforms hired Apple’s AI lead, fueling AI sector optimism and underpinning semiconductor futures. Bitcoin traded just below $109 k, and Treasury yields rose to ~4.42%, influencing risk sentiment in equity futures. Oil and gold futures retraced lower after API data showed a surprise crude build of +0.68 M barrels, pressuring commodity-linked names. Economic Events & Calendar 04:30 PM ET – API Crude Oil Sto...

Auctions & Tariffs: Your July 07 Equity Futures Playbook Market Overview & Sentiment News U.S. stock futures opened lower as investors grappled with renewed trade uncertainty following President Trump’s threat of additional tariffs on BRICS-aligned nations. S&P 500 futures fell 0.3% and Nasdaq futures dropped 0.4% ahead of today’s U.S. Treasury bill auctions. Dow futures were down roughly 0.35% as markets paused after last week’s gains and awaited clarity on trade policy. Tesla shares slumped about 6.7% premarket amid CEO Elon Musk’s political announcement, weighing on tech futures. OPEC+ agreed to boost oil output by 548,000 barrels per day for August, keeping oil prices relatively steady and offering support for energy-related names in futures. Datadog’s inclusion in the S&P 500 drove its stock up 15%, adding to sector rotation into midcaps ahead of today’s session. Foundational Analysis The U.S. labor market displa...